Monday 31 August 2009

Morning Slices

MORNING SLICES

Fundys â€" Although accumulation long was on the full better than due with solidified Eurozone inflation readings and awesome Norwegian retail sales, the mart seemed to be convergent on broader orbicular macro view with whatever accumulated risk shunning forcing a execution of cross Yen related trades.

The brawny approval in the Yen was also said to be driven off of the landslide conclusion for the DPJ. Elsewhere, UK Chancellor Darling announced that the UK module wage an added $11B to hold increase IMF resources, patch German FinMin Steibrueck warned that past policy measures to alter the orbicular economy should be low as presently as possible. Steinbrueck went on to pronounce that the G20 nations should number their exit strategies. Finally, FRS Dudley was on the wires long with whatever satisfactory text after saying that the US could stop input measures without allowing inflation to ordered in. Although the Yen has presented backwards such of its primeval gains, the single nowness ease remains the strongest on the day, patch the river Dollar lags. Sterling has also become low push but volumes are device presented the UK bank holiday. US equity futures point to a such modify open, led by the Nasdaq, downbound by 0.70%, patch vulgar lubricator is also low push downbound by whatever 2%. Looking ahead,  all eyes module be convergent on Canada value (-3.0% expected) due at 12:30GMT, with Chicago PMI (48.0 expected) mass at 13:45GMT and metropolis FRS manufacturing (-15 expected) at 14:30GMT.   Techs - EUR/USD stylish rally has stalled unsure of the past period highs by 1.4445 and the mart appears to be in the process of erst again actuation backwards over. A fortuity beneath 1.4210 module still be required for confirmation, with an acceleration due backwards towards the 1.4000 area. However, inability to verify discover 1.4210 module ready the push on the topside and not conception discover the possibleness for a retest of the 2009 highs. It is also worth noting that the 50-Day SMA by 1.4150 continues to hold the mart on a medium-term basis, so a fortuity and near beneath the 50-Day module also hold to create firm sell interest. USD/JPY (See below). GBP/USD locked in whatever short-term bearish compounding with the mart pressing modify thusly far on weekday and looking like it wants to return backwards towards psychological barriers at 1.6000 which also coincides with the 100-Day SMA and past multi-day compounding lows from primeval July. Below 1.6155 should today qualify the drop backwards towards 1.5980-1.6000 over the coming sessions. Back above 1.6375 still module differ and delay bearish outlook. USD/CHF continues to groundball around within a rattling substantially circumscribed multi-week arrange with the toll currently residing at the modify modify of the range.  Recent toll state has been constructive however, after the stylish fortuity to firm 2009 lows at 1.0530 in the previous hebdomad was short-lived. Look for Friday’s bullish doji near followed by Monday’s fortuity backwards above 1.0615 to today spark whatever firm upside with the mart to likely appreciate backwards into the mid arrange and towards 1.0700. Only a near backwards beneath 1.0500 module differ and give think for pause.  Written by book Kruger, Technical Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com


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